Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.359183 0.410279 0.464951 0.527672 0.597506 0.672736 0.759775
2025-11-16 0.270341 0.338628 0.417408 0.514471 0.630260 0.763356 0.927273
2025-11-23 0.206721 0.282684 0.376738 0.500458 0.657467 0.848516 1.096814
2025-11-30 0.167638 0.248750 0.355916 0.505432 0.705812 0.961945 1.310428
2025-12-07 0.133676 0.214768 0.328805 0.496984 0.734038 1.050937 1.500162
2025-12-14 0.110482 0.191258 0.311615 0.498311 0.773621 1.156495 1.718986
2025-12-21 0.090077 0.167850 0.290452 0.490061 0.797223 1.240390 1.913208
2025-12-28 0.079430 0.157944 0.287950 0.508595 0.860597 1.384316 2.201349
2026-01-04 0.070288 0.148773 0.284956 0.525274 0.921686 1.528337 2.498430
2026-01-11 0.060554 0.136599 0.274922 0.528675 0.961230 1.641602 2.755845
2026-01-18 0.052052 0.125061 0.264142 0.529027 0.994946 1.747055 3.006654
2026-01-25 0.044626 0.114167 0.252810 0.526663 1.023107 1.844541 3.249659
2026-02-01 0.038219 0.104281 0.242210 0.524782 1.052567 1.947302 3.509694
2026-02-08 0.032987 0.095917 0.233367 0.525048 1.085602 2.057946 3.789066
2026-02-15 0.028000 0.086993 0.221966 0.518826 1.105930 2.147903 4.038931
2026-02-22 0.024980 0.082310 0.218934 0.528896 1.157195 2.294233 4.391597
2026-03-01 0.021311 0.075005 0.208868 0.523069 1.177200 2.386104 4.655156
2026-03-08 0.018712 0.070026 0.203387 0.526249 1.214801 2.511463 4.983206
2026-03-15 0.015915 0.063698 0.193600 0.518673 1.229873 2.595942 5.242532
2026-03-22 0.014790 0.062312 0.195964 0.538794 1.303170 2.792910 5.713556
2026-03-29 0.013668 0.060651 0.197355 0.556729 1.373070 2.986962 6.187883
2026-04-05 0.012114 0.057068 0.193042 0.560555 1.413034 3.125423 6.565700
2026-04-12 0.010640 0.053322 0.187653 0.561076 1.445674 3.251080 6.924978